Red Wings GM Steve Yzerman’s biggest job this offseason involves attempting to re-sign restricted free agents Lucas Raymond and Moritz Seider.
Yesterday, Detroit Hockey Now’s Kevin Allen posted a subscriber-only article discussing the leverage (or lack thereof) that Raymond and Seider have in terms of signing an offer sheet (very little because the Wings have the cap space to match any offers), and he estimated the actual amounts of Raymond and Seider’s contracts…
Yzerman has $19.9 million (puckpedia.com data) left to pay RFAs Seider, Raymond, Jonatan Berggren and Joe Veleno. Just in general terms, Detroit Hockey Now uses a $17 million projection combined for Seider and Raymond, $2 million for Veleno and $775,000 for Berggren.
AFP Analytics projects Seider at $8.1 million per season on a long-term deal, while Raymond was at $7.758 million per season on a long-term contract. Using comparables, AFP Analytics does a good job of projecting. But it’s plausible that Raymond and Seider are asking for more.
The compromise could be a shorter bridge deal. For example, AFP Analytics sees a Seider bridge deal at three years at $5.425 million. Because of Raymond’s scoring numbers, his short-term deal (according to AFP Analytics) projects to be at $6.1 million per season for a three-year deal.
Allen continues (paywall); it’s hard to assume anything less than the fact that Dylan Larkin’s $8.7 million is the team’s informal salary cap limit, but some of the restricted free agent contracts thrown around of late (I can think of the Rasmus Dahlin deal, which gives the Sabres defenseman an $11 million cap hit) might require a new “internal cap” to be set, probably in Seider’s case.
What do you think will happen in terms of the Raymond and Seider deals?
