The un-tanking theory

WDIV’s David Bartkowiak Jr. offers an interesting take on the Red Wings’ potential 2018-19 season expectations, suggesting that the Wings’ present lineup is best-served by trying to win despite the team’s personnel issues:

If we’re going to be realistic about this squad right now, they aren’t making the playoffs this season. The Red Wings are a team in some kind of transition — whatever kind it is — whether fans like it or not. The franchise has aging contracts to wait out, and young, unproven prospects to find out about. Growing pains will continue — keyword “growing.”

Ideally, they are a team that is able to stay competitive all season and is not getting blown out 5-1 on a nightly or weekly basis. Hopefully they are able to perform well against some of their divisional rivals — the Leafs, the Sabres, the Canadiens, the Bruins, the Lightning, etc. — but don’t expect them to be beating up on anyone more than once. There are just too many teams with better, more proven talent.

With the salary cap and draft lottery rules, “tanking” for draft picks in the NHL isn’t a real option anymore. Sure, it could help you land a Connor McDavid, but those types of players are few and far between. No, the Red Wings are better off trying to be the best they can be with the lineup they have. They will want to continue growing young players like Larkin, Bertuzzi and Mantha while filtering in new ones. And maybe they’ll surprise some people on some nights. But the fact is there are at least eight or nine other teams in the Eastern Conference who likely will look much better than the Red Wings this season.

Bartkowiak Jr. continues, and I don’t disagree with him, though my rationale is a bit different.

As far as I’m concerned, it’s almost impossible to expect a team of competitive professional athletes to go out and “tank.” While the Red Wings may continue to find themselves on the losing end of close games more often than not this upcoming season, settling for a likely middling finish doesn’t help the Wings’ young players learn to play competitive hockey.

One could argue that, at this point, fostering the Wings’ youth movement should be the team’s goal, and making genuine attempts to win games while giving “the kids” bigger and more integral roles will benefit the team in the long run.

As Bartkowiak Jr. suggests, the Wings are playing in a particularly competitive division, so it may not be realistic to expect them to prevail more often than not, but the Wings simply aren’t going to fold for the sake of earning higher draft picks, and that’s okay.

As I like to say, “Water will find its level,” and the ultimate talent levels of the Wings’ roster will prevail this season (and the Wings will probably struggle more often than not), trying or not trying.

Praise for Filip Hronek

DetroitRedWings.com’s Dana Wakiji examines defenseman Filip Hronek’s 2017-18 season “numbers” this morning, and her review is anchored by Wings assistant GM Ryan Martin’s assessment of the slightly-built-but-fearless defenseman:

Quotable: “To start the year in Grand Rapids, we had Fil and and Vili Saarijarvi down there as first-year defensemen and we wanted to give them opportunity in terms of the power play but at the same time, we didn’t want to hand them jobs. Todd Nelson had decisions to make, too, coming back from the Calder Cup championship. He had all his defensemen back but I think to Filip’s credit, he was able to lock down a full-time, everyday job probably five or six games in.

He beat one of our veteran defensemen to run the power play and that’s how Fil got his opportunity, when he beat out Robbie Russo and Ryan Sproul, who we ended up trading to New York. When that spot opened up for somebody to be on the power play, that’s a real credit to Fil, he obviously had a really good year down there. In the short term it does look like Fil – our expectation and I think Fil’s expectation, too – is that he’s coming in here to compete for a job in Detroit and certainly his ability to run the power play adds a dimension to his game.” — Ryan Martin, Red Wings assistant general manager and Griffins general manager

Wakiji continues. As she notes, Hronek’s not exactly big at 6′ tall and a whopping 178 pounds, but Hronek isn’t intimidated by bigger, stronger players at all, and he’s got a sneaky mean streak to him. He’s probably the favorite of the Wings’ potential defensemen to land a spot on the regular-season roster.

Khan discusses Jonathan Bernier’s 2018-19 expectations

MLive’s Ansar Khan examines the 2018-19 season outlook for goaltender Jonathan Bernier this morning:

2018-19 outlook: The Red Wings signed Bernier to bolster a back-up goaltending position that went 8-12-4, with a 3.22 goals-against average and .899 save percentage between Petr Mrazek and Jared Coreau in 2017-18. But the eight-year veteran has designs on the starting job and expects to push long-time No. 1 goalie Jimmy Howard for playing time.

Quotable: “I didn’t want to be in a position where I played 15-20 games, I want to come in and have a chance to play as much as possible. Obviously, depending on my play, but I just thought it was a great opportunity that me and Jimmy (Howard) can battle for games.” — Bernier

Key question: Will Bernier make a serious push for the starting job?

I wouldn’t be surprised if Bernier plays in 20-30 games as Jimmy Howard’s has suffered injuries on an every-year basis over the past couple of seasons.

FYI: Ken Daniels to speak regarding Jamie Daniels Foundation on September 24th in Taylor, MI

If you’re interested, Ken Daniels will hold a discussion/presentation in coordination with Community Care Services of Taylor, MI. Per the Southgate News-Herald:

Community Care Services is holding its third annual Reality of Recovery, a free community forum to offer insights and perspectives on substance abuse and addiction and provide resources for recovery, treatment and support from 7-9 p.m. On Sept. 24.

This year’s guest speaker will be longtime Detroit Red Wings play-by-play broadcaster Ken Daniels, who lost his son to an opioid overdose in 2016 and has since launched the Jamie Daniels Foundation to support those facing addiction.

Daniels will share his son’s hard-fought battle with addiction in an effort to end the stigma that often prevents people from getting the help they need. Daniels and his family established the Jamie Daniels Foundation in honor of his late son to support individuals and families who are struggling with addiction by providing the education, resources, professional guidance and financial support they need to make recovery possible.

Continued with event details

It looks like Fox Sports GO will stream the Red Wings’ prospect tournament

FYI: Fox Sports North, the Minnesota Wild’s Fox Sports affiliate, states that the entirety of the Red Wings’ prospect tournament will be streamed on Fox Sports GO.

The application can be accessed via the internet, downloaded for Apple, Amazon, Android and Windows devices, and works for just about everything else, but you have to sign up for a Fox Sports GO account (usually linked to your cable or satellite subscription) to access the streams.

HSJ confirms that Henrik Zetterberg will see back specialist who performed 2014 discectomy

The Free Press’s Helene St. James confirms something strongly suspected by Wings followers: Henrik Zetterberg will consult with Dr. Frank Cammisa, the back specialist who performed the discectomy on Zetterberg in 2014, in order to help determine whether he can continue playing:

Zetterberg is expected to see Dr. Frank Cammisa next week, if not sooner. Cammisa was the doctor who performed back surgery on Zetterberg in the spring of 2014.

“He knows his back as well as anybody,” general manager Ken Holland told the Free Press on Tuesday. “We’ll see what he says, then determine if we need another opinion.”

Also of note from Holland:

With Zetterberg unavailable for camp, the Wings have 10 NHL regulars up front, along with the booming right-handed shot of Martin Frk.

Michael Rasmussen, a center drafted ninth overall in 2017, is expected to be ready to grab a job after a standout performance in the 2018 WHL playoffs (14 goals and 17 assists for 33 points in 14 games).

Holland named the other top forward prospects as Filip Zadina, Evgeny Svechnikov and Dominic Turgeon. Zadina is a scorer drafted sixth overall in June, and Svechnikov is a big winger acquired in the 2015 first round. Turgeon could perhaps serve as fourth-line center, while a guy like Luke Glendening jumps up to center the third line, and Frans Nielsen and Dylan Larkin center the top two lines.

“Jeff Blashill and I have talked all summer about what our lineup would look like with Z in the lineup, and what it would look like without him,” Holland said. “We know he won’t be ready for the start of the season. And we know there’s a chance it’s worse than that.”

St. James continues

Speedy catch-up post: regarding player roles, The Athletic goodies, Wings videos and Zadina hype

Of Red Wings-related note over the course of the past week, on a source-by-source basis (if you missed the Zetterberg post, I caught you up on the Swedish and English news regarding the Wings’ captain as well):

A. MLive:

  1. Ansar Khan examined the 2018-19 season outlooks for Darren Helm, Luke Witkowski, Justin Abdelkader and Thomas Vanek;
  2. Hugh Berenreuter also discussed prospects Reilly Webb and Brady Gilmour’s respective growth while playing for the OHL’s Saginaw Spirit.

B. The Athletic:

  1. Scott Wheeler penned a lengthy profile of Michael Rasmussen;
  2. Dom Luszczyszyn penned a Red Wings season preview;
  3. Corey Pronman reported that Finland’s Otto Kivenmaki and Sweden’s Jesper Eliasson performed well at the Under-20 Four Nations Tournament;
  4. Craig Custance spoke with outgoing Sweden head coach Rickard Gronborg about Henrik Zetterberg;
  5. Max Bultman penned a fine profile of Dennis Cholowski;
  6. And the Red Wings did not rank highly in the Athletic’s “tiering” of NHL teams.

C. Detroit Red Wings:

  1. The Red Wings posted “By the Numbers” profiles of Luke Glendening, Joe Hicketts and Givani Smith;
  2. The Wings also posted a trio of videos, spotlighting the Joe Kocur Foundation’s charity softball game, the Stars and Stripes Showdown, and Luke Witkowski’s flight with the Thunderbirds:

 

The Wings posted a clip of their fantasy campers taking part in a star-studded experience as well:

FYI:


D. NHL.com:

1. NHL.com suggested that Filip Zadina is the 6th-best NHL prospect available for the 2018-19 campaign, and Michael Rasmussen finished 46th out of 50 prospects. Zadina got talked up by Mike G. Morreale on the NHL Network:

 E. The Hockey News:

1. The Hockey News’s Sam McCaig also praised Zadina and Rasmussen as potential Calder Trophy candidates.

F. Toledo Walleye:

1. The Walleye announced that they will play a preseason game against Kalamazoo on October 6th;

2. The Walleye also signed forward Hayden Hodgson and re-signed defenseman Ryan Obuchowski.

G. Grand Rapids Griffins:

1. In the alumni department, Kyle Quincey signed a contract with IFK Helsinki of the Finnish Liiga for the 2018-19 season.

 

 

Up and running again

After a week on the IR, TMR is finally back up and running.

1. I’d like to apologize for my absence first and foremost. Being sick is particularly challenging when you’re the owner/operator of a blog. What I thought was just a sinus infection threw a nasty stomach bug my way, so I had little choice but to sit on the sidelines late last week…which wasn’t particularly enjoyable.

I want to facilitate content and get some of my own stuff out here, and not being able to do so was extremely difficult. Every day I missed was difficult, but I was truly “kaput.”

2. I’ll try to get a catch-up post up today. This is going to be a busy couple of days as I’m leaving for Traverse City on Wednesday, so I’ve got a litany of errands to take care of after missing a week’s worth of preparations, but I’ll grind out something today.

3. Speaking of the trip, I kind of sort of still need to raise another $1,000 to completely cover things. It’s not ideal to be going up while still fundraising, but life happens. So https://paypal.me/TheMalikReport and https://patreon.com/TheMalikReport are up and accepting donations of any amount. Thank you for your support!

4. Now we move forward. I’m sorry for the interruption in service, and I’ll do my best to get as healthy as possible for the prospect tournament and main training camp. It’s almost “go time!”

Is Jeff Blashill ‘under the most pressure’ as the season approaches?

ESPN’s Emily Kaplan discusses the person or persons under the most pressure for each NHL team as we approach the 2018-19 season.

She suggests that the Red Wings’ coach will have to shoulder the burden of responsibility if the team struggles again:

Detroit Red Wings

Head coach Jeff Blashill

This really should be Ken Holland, considering no team in the league is as hamstrung with bloated, poorly aged contracts as the Red Wings. But the GM has built a lot of equity due to past glory, and ownership kept him around with a two-year extension this spring. So now the bull’s-eye is on Blashill, who has a winning percentage below .500, and just one playoff win in three seasons.

Kaplan continues, and there’s no doubt that Blashill will face pressure to perform this season, but I’d argue that the Wings’ blueliners are in the spotlight as the team prepares for training camp.

Khan discusses Mike Green’s role

MLive’s Ansar Khan discusses Mike Green’s 2018-19 season outlook this morning:

2018-19 outlook: The Red Wings re-signed Green due to their need for offense from the back end and his right-handed shot. It was a thin free-agent market on defense and, in all likelihood, only one defenseman from Grand Rapids (Filip Hronek) will be ready to start the season in Detroit. The Red Wings are rebuilding but want to dress a competitive lineup and believe Green will help in that regard.

In addition to his offense, Green is a good skater who moves the puck well but has been prone to turnovers.

He should be the point man on the top power-play unit under new assistant coach Dan Bylsma, whose primary task is improving a man-advantage that ranks last in the NHL over the past two seasons combined (16.3 percent).

Green is expected to be ready for the regular season opener but might be limited in training camp and the preseason following neck surgery in April.

Khan continues; coach Jeff Blashill suggested that Green won’t be cleared for contact until the preseason begins when Blashill spoke at the “Stars and Stripes Showdown.”

Green may have some defensive hiccups, but the Red Wings need his offensive abilities, so I would anticipate that Green will be used as the Wings’ default #1 offensive defenseman.