Betting against the grain

Now I don’t believe in raining on anyone’s parade, so if sports betting makes you feel more excited about games or player performances, I’m glad for you–but it’s just not for me. I don’t enjoy sports betting. You’ll have to excuse my eye-roll as The Athletic’s Jesse Granger insists that Ville Husso’s win total is one of several “prop bets” worth spending money on this upcoming season:

Ville Husso under 26.5 goalie wins: Husso had an excellent start to last season, but eventually ran out of gas and struggled down the stretch. Detroit responded by brining in James Reimer to lighten Husso’s workload. And while that’s probably a good move for the Red Wings, it’s not for Husso’s win total.

Husso hasn’t won more than 26 games in a season in his career, and it’s been seven years since the last time any Red Wings goalie did it.

Bah, humbug.

DHN’s Duff discusses a sticky wicket

This morning, Detroit Hockey Now’s Bob Duff discusses and Aftonbladet article that pissed me off enough that I almost closed the laptop lid when I read it.

As Andreas Kack reports, Linkopings HC player Jonas Junland told a hockey betting podcast that he believes that Red Wings prospect Anton Johansson is only earning ice time with Leksands IF because Anton’s dad, Thomas, is the team’s general manger.

Junland bullshitted that an injury on Leksand’s blueline means that Anton will receive a bigger opportunity after teammate Anton Lindholm was suspended for five games only because Anton is “Tjomme’s” son:

“Tjomme’s son will soon be playing 40 minutes per game and he might not have a SHL job if dad wasn’t sports director,” Junland said during an appearance on the Swedish show Hockey Thursday.

That’s horseshit. And “Tjomme” Johansson knows it:

“Haha… We are quite used to different people having opinions and thinking things about our children,” Tjomme Johansson wrote in a text to Swedish website Aftonbladet.se. “Otherwise, I have no comments.”

In other words, the bologna being spouted by Junland is baseless. Anton’s playing because he’s earned the ice time.

Anybody who’s seen him play away from Leskand knows he’s a talented middle-pair defenseman with a strong all-round skill set and a right shot–the 20-year-old has the tools that the Red Wings need in terms of building the right side of their defensive prospect pool.

Junland won’t be the last person to accuse “Tjomme” of nepotism as his son continues to build upon his performances with Leksand. But it’s a bunch of crap.

HSJ in the morning: Wings-Leafs exhibition affair tonight serves as final preparation for regular season

The Detroit Red Wings will battle the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight (7 PM EDT on Bally Sports Detroit/TSN4, 97.1 FM) to close out their 2023-2024 exhibition season.

The 4-2-and-1 Red Wings have been told that the Leafs won’t bring their NHL team’s roster to Little Caesars Arena, but the Red Wings still plan on holding a “dress rehearsal” for the regular season, as the Free Press’s Helene St. James notes this morning:

“You can get your lines together, get everyone out there with who they’re going to play with,” veteran defenseman Ben Chiarot said. “It’s like of like a dress rehearsal for us.”

Goaltender Ville Husso is earmarked to play the full game. He has appeared in two preseason games, logging just short of 61 minutes of work and posting a 1.97 goals-against average and .933 save percentage.

As St. James notes, the one wrinkle in the Red Wings’ Friday practice lineup involved Michael Rasmussen skating alongside the duo of Alex DeBrincat and Dylan Larkin.

Wings coach Derek Lalonde made some interesting comments about both the Red Wings’ lineup and the exhibition grind on Friday:

Continue reading HSJ in the morning: Wings-Leafs exhibition affair tonight serves as final preparation for regular season

Prospect round-up: Gibson 1G, 2A for Greyhounds

Of Red Wings prospect-related note in North America on Friday night:

In the OHL, Tnias Mathurin finished at +1 in the North Bay Battalion’s 4-1 win over London;

Andrew Gibson scored a goal and added two assists, finishing even with 2 shots in the Soo Greyhounds’ 7-4 loss to Sarnia:

In the USHL, Rudy Guimond served as the back-up in the Cedar Rapids Roughriders’ 5-2 loss to the Tri-City Storm;

And in the BCHL, Larry Keenan scored a goal in the Penticton Vees’ 4-3 overtime win over the Trail Smoke Eaters.

A different kind of waiver wire target

The Red Wings waived 8 players on Friday as part of the team’s attempt to send their Grand Rapids Griffins-bound players to the AHL successfully. I’m honestly a little surprised to see one of them named by The Athletic’s Harman Dayal and Corey Pronman as a strong waiver wire target:

Jared McIsaac, D, Detroit Red Wings

McIsaac was the No. 36 pick in 2018 by Detroit. He’s a mobile defenseman with decent size and puck-moving ability who has been an all-situations guy in the AHL. The concern with McIsaac has been a definable NHL role. He’s not this super physical/competitive hard to play against defender, nor is he a big-time offensive player. There’s probably enough to his game to help a lesser team at the bottom of their NHL depth chart, though. —Pronman

Continued; McIsaac is a 23-year-old, stay-at-home defenseman who’s looking to earn some ice time in Grand Rapids among the Red Wings’ constellation of Swedish and Finnish, mostly offensively-minded rearguards. I could very easily see McIsaac picked off by another team that’s looking for a third-pair guy who is probably NHL-ready.

Where the Walleye stand ahead of the start of ECHL training camps

The Toledo Walleye announced the signings of four players today, per the team…

The Toledo Walleye have agreed to terms for the 2023-2024 season with forwards Patrick McGrath and Sam Sternschein (STERN-shine), along with defenseman Will Cullen and goaltender Rylan Parenteau.

And the Toledo Blade’s Mark Monroe explains what that means for the Red Wings’ ECHL affiliate:

Cullen is the fifth former [Bowling Green State University] player who has signed with the Walleye this offseason, joining forwards Brandon Hawkins, Brandon Kruse, Sam Craggs, and Chase Gresock.

The Walleye have now signed 18 players: defensemen Cullen, Adrien Beraldo, Riley McCourt, Grant Gabriele, Thomas Farrell, and Jake Willets, and forwards McGrath, Sternschein, Gresock, Orrin Centazzo, Kirill Tyutyayev, Carson Denomie, Kruse, Hawkins, Conlan Keenan, Craggs, and Mitchell Lewandowski along with Parenteau.

The team will hold its first practice on Monday at 6 p.m. It will be free and open to the public.

The Walleye will then have their first preseason game against Kalamazoo at home next Friday. Toledo then plays at Kalamazoo on Saturday, Oct. 14.

The two ECHL Central Division opponents then meet in the season opener for both teams on Saturday, Oct. 21. Toledo’s home opener is on Friday, Nov. 3 against Reading.

You can assume that the Griffins will probably assign a player or two to Toledo, filling out their roster. Griffins-contracted goaltender Jan Bednar will be among them.

Tweet of note: Wings show us a behind-the-scenes peek at media day

The Red Wings held their “media day” at Little Caesars Arena today, and that’s just a fancy term for saying that they made the players shoot promotional video for both Bally Sports Detroit’s broadcasts and the in-arena broadcasts which air during home games.

The Red Wings posted a minute and one second’s worth of footage of what the players endured…I mean engaged in!

Talking prospect play and North American adjustments

The Hockey News’s Sam Stockton devotes his Friday article toward discussing the play of Red Wings prospects Simon Edvinsson, Marco Kasper, Nate Danielson, William Wallinder and Amadeus Lombardi, as observed over the course of training camp and the exhibition season.

I’ve been particularly vocal about Marco Kasper’s adjustment to North American ice and pace, so I’m curious to read what Sam has to say about the Red Wings’ brightest forward prospect:

For the Austrian centerman, this camp has been defined by the process of acquainting himself to the smaller North American ice sheet.

“I think adjusting to North American hockey is a little bit different,” said Lalonde yesterday in reference to Kasper. “And there’s nothing wrong; it’s [that] there’s some different time and space to where he played last year, which I don’t mind, especially for skill development. But you can see even that he has a tendency to want to slow plays down, want to re-group pucks. He had the turnover ended up in the back of our net the other night. He tried a behind-the-back, through-the-legs pass to the D for a regroup, which obviously you don’t see very often and is a no-no in our league, but it’s probably a common play with bigger ice to re-group…I think every game he’s progressively gotten better.”

Discussing rink sizes is something of a cliché when it comes to European prospects’ development, but its significance can’t be over-stated. On a smaller sheet, there are fundamental changes to every reference point a player has, which means plays that would be simple become foreign and complicated, and the time a player has to make decisions will be less with the same number of bodies occupying a smaller surface. The adjustment from NCAA or CHL hockey is almost always about the pace of the NHL game (Nate Danielson attested to as much yesterday, when asked for the biggest change he’s observed from Brandon and the WHL to Red Wings camp), and that’s without having a compressed playing surface to account for.

There’s still plenty to love about Kasper’s mentality and intensity. He is aggressive, simple, and skillful, and that’s a promising combination. Some time in Grand Rapids should serve him well in sharpening his game to the North American sheet, and, as with Edvinsson, I would be surprised if he doesn’t play meaningful NHL minutes by season’s end.

Stockton continues, and I think that it’s less about time and space on the ice and more about the style of play.

If you’ve watched SHL hockey, there’s a significant emphasis on establishing possession in the offensive zone, and then regrouping with a blind pass to the blueline and a couple of passes around the perimeter to really establish control of the puck before teams proceed to attack the net.

It’s a lot like soccer, where you see few rushes up the wing that directly go toward the opposing team’s net, and you see far more attempts to run deep into the zone, up the sidelines, and then attempt to establish possession in the middle of the field/pitch/rink/whatever.

If I may be honest, even Moritz Seider is still unlearning some of those SHL tendencies in terms of “button-hooking” back to regroup or passing to Jake Walman when the Wings establish possession in the offensive zone. We should not assume that it’s easy for a European defender to realize that, at the NHL level, on NHL-sized ice, sometimes the best thing you can do is rip a puck toward the net, or pass it to a forward who’s deeper in the zone.

Kulfan’s notebook: Red Wings hope to emulate regular-season intensity on Saturday night

As the Detroit News’s Ted Kulfan reports, the Red Wings’ coaching staff believes that Saturday night’s preseason finale against the Toronto Maple Leafs (7 PM EDT on Bally Sports Detroit/TSN4, 97.1 FM) should be about this year’s team continuing to build toward regular-season intensity, fit and finish:

Lalonde is mostly concerned about seeing his lineup “engaged” and ready to play on Saturday.

“It’s hard, but it’s reality,” said Lalonde, noting Toronto isn’t likely to bring a veteran lineup. “You saw us Wednesday in Pittsburgh playing (against) a predominantly American Hockey League team and with a predominant NHL lineup and they gave us fits because they outworked us.

“You saw us (Thursday), our ‘B’ team, and they gave Toronto’s players fits because our guys worked hard. It’s a really tough read. I’m sure Toronto will do the same to us (Saturday). Guys are playing for their lives, playing for jobs and these experienced NHL veterans, they usually take what they need out of the exhibitions. I won’t put a whole lot of stock in (Saturday), but you want to keep buttoning up the structure and our habits. (And) to get emotionally engaged. We’re not good enough to just turn it on and off.”

Goaltender Ville Husso is scheduled to play the entire game, but Lalonde wouldn’t commit to any pairs or lines, other than likely seeing Dylan Larkin centering Michael Rasmussen and Alex DeBrincat.

Rasmussen’s size and strength was a positive factor on lines before he suffered a season-ending knee injury in February.

“Anyone Ras has played with, and you guys saw this last year, he drives them a little bit and gets them touches,” Lalonde said. “He gets pucks off the forecheck, pucks in transition for guys. Anyone he is with, he kind of helps them a lot.”

Continued; I’m going to be honest–the Larkin-DeBrincat pairing needs a worker bee, not a second sniper, so I would not be surprised if Lucas Raymond eventually finds himself on the second line so that the third part of the Wings’ top line is more balanced with a forechecking, physical player.

That’s not a dig on Raymond, who’s a fine player. It’s just that he hasn’t (as of yet) displayed that kind of play in the exhibition season.

Khan on ‘seven D’

MLive’s Ansar Khan took note of Red Wings coach Derek Lalonde’s comments regarding his team carrying seven defensemen to start the regular season:

“We were comfortable going into camp feeling we have seven NHL D, a luxury we haven’t had for a very long time, and nobody separated themselves in a negative way,” Lalonde said after Friday’s practice. “All seven D had a very good camp and showed to their strengths. The reality of it sometimes is maybe camp would separate. There’s been zero separation of the seven D. That’s a really good sign for us. It’s hard to get D depth. It’ll still be a work in progress through tomorrow and those three practices next week.”

The Red Wings (4-3-0) wrap up the preseason Saturday against Toronto at Little Caesars Arena (7 p.m., Bally Sports Detroit).

The only defense pairing that appears set is Jake Walman-Moritz Seider, who played well together the second half of last season.

Jeff Petry and Shayne Gostisbehere, acquired in the offseason, and Olli Maatta, signed to a two-year extension late last season, would seem to be good bets for three other lineup spots. In that scenario, Ben Chiarot and Justin Holl, signed to a three-year deal on July 1, would be vying for the final spot.

Top 2021 pick Simon Edvinsson remains with the team for now, but there does not seem to be a path for him to make the season-opening roster. He is waiver-exempt and would gain more from playing big minutes in all situations in Grand Rapids than having a fringe role or being an extra in Detroit.

Lalonde said they likely will carry seven defensemen, not eight.

Continued