MLive’s Ansar Khan discusses the “pluses and minuses” of some sort of Pittsburgh Penguins trade of 35-year-old defenseman Erik Karlsson to the Red Wings, but I’ve got to emphasize something that everybody’s getting wrong: Karlsson has, per PuckPedia, a $11.5 million cap hit, not a flat $10 million cap hit, on a contract that goes through 2027.
Anyway, Khan believes that a sensible trade for Karlsson would make lots of sense for Detroit, presuming that Karlsson would waive his no-move clause, and that a defenseman (Justin Holl) would go the other way:
The pros:
–The right-shooting Karlsson could slot into the Red Wings’ second pairing with Simon Edvinsson and boost the offense that ranked 22nd in the league at 2.87 goals per game. He tallied 22 goals and 109 points in the past two seasons combined with Pittsburgh after amassing 25 goals and 101 points with San Jose in 2022-23.
–Karlsson would upgrade an already strong power play (ranked fourth at 27 percent), ensuring it remains among the league’s best. He’d man the top unit, enabling Moritz Seider to move down and strengthen the second unit.
–If the Penguins retained 50 percent of Karlsson’s salary, he’d cost only $5 million, which would be further mitigated if they took back Holl and the final year of his contract at $3.4 million.
–Karlsson could be a mentor in 2026-27 for top defense prospect Alex Sandin Pellikka, who’ll likely spend this season with the Grand Rapids Griffins.
The cons:
–Karlsson would not improve the Red Wings defensively or on the penalty kill, higher priority areas than offense and the power play.
Continued (paywall); I’m just not a fan of this concept, mostly because I don’t believe that the Penguins plan on retaining much, if any of Karlsson’s salary, and also because he’s just not as mobile as he once was.
To me, Karlsson is a one-way defenseman, and while he can still skate and still shoot, pass and score…And Khan’s theoretical trade of a salary dump (Holl), a roster player (Jonatan Berggren) and a mid-round pick (a 2nd?) might not get it done.
I just don’t see a fit. It wouldn’t hurt my feelings if the Wings did go after Karlsson, but Pittsburgh would have to retain salary, and Pittsburgh would have to not want a whole lot back, and, given the rumors that the Pens want a 1st round pick + a good prospect + a roster player for Rickard Rakell or Bryan Rust…
I don’t see the Wings paying that kind of price.